Evidence & methods
Netherlands · Highly pathogenic avian influenza
The source and assumption register behind the current profile, including evidence grain, classification, model version and validation status.
NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 · CBA v1Release 2026-09-07 · READY
Status evidence2026-07-17observed
Exposure evidence2025 finalobserved
Economic evidence€9.999m HPAI control expenditureobserved
Decision frameeventEUR · no FX conversion
Source register
URLs open the original publisher record5 sources used by this profile
| Organisation / title | Date | Geographic grain | Classification | Model version | Validation | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government of the NetherlandsBird flu infections at holdings | 2026-07-17 | 2026 infected-holding location register | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
| Government of the NetherlandsNational poultry housing order withdrawn | 2026-06-11 | national HPAI risk assessment and control status | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
| Statistics Netherlands (CBS)Agriculture; crops, livestock and land use by general farm type, region | 2025-12-31 | final 2025 national and 12-province livestock exposure | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
| PDOK / Dutch Cadastre (Kadaster)Bestuurlijke Gebieden 2026 - provinciegebied | 2026-01-29 | official 2026 province geometry and identifiers | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
| Government of the NetherlandsAnimal Health Fund annual report 2025 | 2026-05-20 | audited 2025 HPAI control expenditure benchmark | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
Assumption register
Editable planning model
potential loss = exposure × affected share × loss per affected head; avoided loss = potential loss × effectiveness; BCR = avoided loss ÷ programme cost
Exploratory decision scenario, not an observed loss, budget, forecast or official effectiveness estimate. Defaults are editable Syntera planning assumptions.- Official status is not silently converted into prevalence.
- Province livestock exposure is observed CBS data, not a national allocation.
- No UK or France economic coefficient or intervention effect is reused.
- Planning-model defaults are editable Syntera assumptions, not observed Netherlands values.
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