Evidence & methods
Netherlands · Bluetongue
The source and assumption register behind the current profile, including evidence grain, classification, model version and validation status.
NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 · CBA v1Release 2026-09-07 · READY
Status evidence2025-12-31observed
Exposure evidence2025 finalobserved
Economic evidenceBTV-8 direct-loss estimate: €164m–€175mliterature-derived
Decision frameeventEUR · no FX conversion
Source register
URLs open the original publisher record5 sources used by this profile
| Organisation / title | Date | Geographic grain | Classification | Model version | Validation | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVWABluetongue explanation and current situation | 2026-09-07 | Dutch BTV history, serotypes and 2025 detection status | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
| Statistics Netherlands (CBS)Agriculture; crops, livestock and land use by general farm type, region | 2025-12-31 | final 2025 national and 12-province livestock exposure | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
| PDOK / Dutch Cadastre (Kadaster)Bestuurlijke Gebieden 2026 - provinciegebied | 2026-01-29 | official 2026 province geometry and identifiers | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
| Wageningen University & ResearchFinancial consequences of the Dutch BTV-8 epidemic | 2010-01-01 | historical 2006-2007 direct-loss benchmark only | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
| Government of the NetherlandsVaccination against animal diseases | 2026-09-07 | BTV, FMD, CSF, HPAI and Newcastle vaccination policy | official | NLD-ANIMAL-DISEASE-PORTFOLIO-v1 | READY | Open |
Assumption register
Editable planning model
potential loss = exposure × affected share × loss per affected head; avoided loss = potential loss × effectiveness; BCR = avoided loss ÷ programme cost
Exploratory decision scenario, not an observed loss, budget, forecast or official effectiveness estimate. Defaults are editable Syntera planning assumptions.- Official status is not silently converted into prevalence.
- Province livestock exposure is observed CBS data, not a national allocation.
- No UK or France economic coefficient or intervention effect is reused.
- Planning-model defaults are editable Syntera assumptions, not observed Netherlands values.
Institutional service
Build a private BioRisk portfolio
Translate the public evidence architecture into a governed portfolio for your organisation, with private assumptions, operational thresholds and decision briefs kept separate from the public register.
About the founder