SYNTERA BIORISK
SpeciesPigs & wild boarReleaseNetherlands · 2026-09-07
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  4. Classical swine fever
Country–disease dossierNetherlands · Classical swine fever
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Decision lens · event frame

Netherlands · Classical swine fever

Official evidence remains visible. Unsupported intervention economics are withheld from the public decision view.

Official status · 2026-05-29WOAH recognises the Netherlands as free from classical swine fever; surveillance and emergency preparedness are maintained.observed
Susceptible exposure · 2025 final9,765,589 headobserved
Published economicsUnavailableunavailable
Benefit-cost ratioBCR not estimatedILLUSTRATIVE
Economic evidence classes

Published, modelled, and private values remain separate

Published economic evidenceUnavailable

Direct outbreak loss · programme expenditure · compensation · trade loss. Unregistered components remain explicitly unavailable.

unavailable · source scope retained
Syntera modelled scenarioPreview ready

9,765,589 head · 3% affected · 190 EUR/head · 30m cost · 58% effectiveness.

Final outputs appear only after activation and run.
Client/private scenarioRestricted institutional workspace

Private prices, budgets, uptake, and client parameters are not stored in this public browser.

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ILLUSTRATIVE

Illustrative scenario—country-specific intervention evidence unavailable.

The registered values are a transparent planning scenario, not a forecast or country-specific intervention estimate.

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Input source
Registered susceptible exposure plus Syntera planning assumptions
Exposure
9,765,589 head · 2025 final
Affected share
3% · planning assumption
Loss per head
190 EUR · planning assumption
Programme cost
30m EUR · planning assumption
Effectiveness
58% · planning assumption
Time horizon
One event
Discount rate
0% · discounting not applied
Formula
potential loss = exposure × affected share × loss per affected head; avoided loss = potential loss × effectiveness; BCR = avoided loss ÷ programme cost
Evidence class
generic-syntera-planning-scenario · ILLUSTRATIVE
Limitations
Exploratory decision scenario, not an observed loss, budget, forecast or official effectiveness estimate. Defaults are editable Syntera planning assumptions.
Sources
WOAH · Government of the Netherlands · Statistics Netherlands (CBS) · PDOK / Dutch Cadastre (Kadaster) · Government of the Netherlands
Assumptions and evidence

Registered basis

  • Official status is not silently converted into prevalence.
  • Province livestock exposure is observed CBS data, not a national allocation.
  • No UK or France economic coefficient or intervention effect is reused.
  • Planning-model defaults are editable Syntera assumptions, not observed Netherlands values.
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