Direct outbreak loss · programme expenditure · compensation · trade loss. Unregistered components remain explicitly unavailable.
literature-derived · source scope retained Decision lens · event frame
Netherlands · Bluetongue
Official evidence remains visible. Unsupported intervention economics are withheld from the public decision view.
Official status · 2025-12-31The Netherlands lost bluetongue-free status in September 2023; BTV-3 and later BTV-12 circulated, while no new infection was detected in 2025.observed
Susceptible exposure · 2025 final4,947,835 headobserved
Published economicsBTV-8 direct-loss estimate: €164m–€175mliterature-derived
Benefit-cost ratioBCR not estimatedILLUSTRATIVE
Economic evidence classes
Published, modelled, and private values remain separate
4,947,835 head · 12% affected · 80 EUR/head · 18m cost · 50% effectiveness.
Final outputs appear only after activation and run.Private prices, budgets, uptake, and client parameters are not stored in this public browser.
Request secure accessIllustrative scenario—country-specific intervention evidence unavailable.
The registered values are a transparent planning scenario, not a forecast or country-specific intervention estimate.
Inspect BCR calculation fingerprint
- Input source
- Registered susceptible exposure plus Syntera planning assumptions
- Exposure
- 4,947,835 head · 2025 final
- Affected share
- 12% · planning assumption
- Loss per head
- 80 EUR · planning assumption
- Programme cost
- 18m EUR · planning assumption
- Effectiveness
- 50% · planning assumption
- Time horizon
- One event
- Discount rate
- 0% · discounting not applied
- Formula
- potential loss = exposure × affected share × loss per affected head; avoided loss = potential loss × effectiveness; BCR = avoided loss ÷ programme cost
- Evidence class
- generic-syntera-planning-scenario · ILLUSTRATIVE
- Limitations
- Exploratory decision scenario, not an observed loss, budget, forecast or official effectiveness estimate. Defaults are editable Syntera planning assumptions.
- Sources
- NVWA · Statistics Netherlands (CBS) · PDOK / Dutch Cadastre (Kadaster) · Wageningen University & Research · Government of the Netherlands
Assumptions and evidence
Registered basis
- Official status is not silently converted into prevalence.
- Province livestock exposure is observed CBS data, not a national allocation.
- No UK or France economic coefficient or intervention effect is reused.
- Planning-model defaults are editable Syntera assumptions, not observed Netherlands values.
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