Direct outbreak loss · programme expenditure · compensation · trade loss. Unregistered components remain explicitly unavailable.
unavailable · source scope retained Decision lens · event frame
Italy · Bluetongue
Official evidence remains visible. Unsupported intervention economics are withheld from the public decision view.
Official status · 2026-09-07Official national surveillance governs current status; no compatible NUTS 2 case series is registered.observed
Susceptible exposure · 2020 Agricultural Census/FSS13,948,720 headobserved
Published economicsUnavailableunavailable
Benefit-cost ratioBCR not estimatedILLUSTRATIVE
Economic evidence classes
Published, modelled, and private values remain separate
13,948,720 head · 10% affected · 90 EUR/head · 34.87m cost · 55% effectiveness.
Final outputs appear only after activation and run.Private prices, budgets, uptake, and client parameters are not stored in this public browser.
Request secure accessIllustrative scenario—country-specific intervention evidence unavailable.
The registered values are a transparent planning scenario, not a forecast or country-specific intervention estimate.
Inspect BCR calculation fingerprint
- Input source
- Registered susceptible exposure plus Syntera planning assumptions
- Exposure
- 13,948,720 head · 2020 Agricultural Census/FSS
- Affected share
- 10% · planning assumption
- Loss per head
- 90 EUR · planning assumption
- Programme cost
- 34.87m EUR · planning assumption
- Effectiveness
- 55% · planning assumption
- Time horizon
- One event
- Discount rate
- 0% · discounting not applied
- Formula
- potential loss = exposure × affected share × loss per affected head; avoided loss = potential loss × effectiveness; BCR = avoided loss ÷ programme cost
- Evidence class
- generic-syntera-planning-scenario · ILLUSTRATIVE
- Limitations
- Exploratory decision scenario, not an observed loss, budget, forecast or official effectiveness estimate. Defaults are editable Syntera planning assumptions; programme cost scales with country-specific susceptible exposure.
- Sources
- Italian Ministry of Health · European Commission · Eurostat · Eurostat GISCO
Assumptions and evidence
Registered basis
- Official status is not silently converted into prevalence or case counts.
- Eurostat livestock exposure retains unavailable cells and independent rounding.
- No UK, France, Netherlands or Germany evidence is reused as country-specific evidence.
- Planning-model defaults are editable Syntera assumptions, not observed national values.
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