ITALY PORTFOLIO · 7 SEPTEMBER 2026
Italy · cross-disease portfolio
13 linked disease profiles with official status and exposure, observed economics where available, and a separate editable planning CBA on every profile.
13linked profiles13/13planning CBA21official NUTS 2 regions
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Generic BCRs are withheld from rankings; no composite risk score is calculated.ALL DECISION FRAMES
13 profiles · open any row for evidence, map and CBA controlsItaly disease profiles
| Disease profile | Official status | Susceptible exposure | Published economic benchmark | Planning loss | Planning cost | Intervention evidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 Foot-and-mouth diseaseevent modelcattle, pigs, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants | official status and category a preparednessas at 2026-09-07official | 22.68mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €170m2.5% affected · €300/headmodelled | €91mEmergency-plan readinessassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #2 Bluetongueevent modelcattle, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants | official vector season surveillanceas at 2026-09-07official | 13.95mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €126m10% affected · €90/headmodelled | €35mVaccination readinessassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #3 Epizootic haemorrhagic diseaseevent modelcattle, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants | notifiable vector incursion preparednessas at 2026-09-07official | 13.95mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €80m6% affected · €95/headmodelled | €28mVector surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #4 Johne’s diseaseannual modelcattle, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants | national control context no current prevalenceas at 2026-09-07official | 13.95mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €70m2.5% affected · €200/headmodelled | €28mHerd hygiene assessmentassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #5 African swine feverevent modelpigs, wild_boar | regionalised eu control zonesas at 2026-09-07official | 8.73mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €44m2% affected · €250/headmodelled | €35mWild-boar corridor surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #6 Highly pathogenic avian influenzaevent modelpoultry, captive_birds, wild_birds | notifiable seasonal surveillanceas at 2026-09-07official | 173.38mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €42m3% affected · €8/headmodelled | €87mWild-bird and farm surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #7 Classical swine feverevent modelpigs, wild_boar | official status and category a preparednessas at 2026-09-07official | 8.73mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €38m2% affected · €220/headmodelled | €26mOfficial-status surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #8 Lumpy skin diseaseevent modelcattle | category a external incursion preparednessas at 2026-09-07official | 6mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €38m4% affected · €160/headmodelled | €18mTransport hygieneassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #9 Peste des petits ruminantsevent modelsheep, goats, wild_ruminants | official status and category a preparednessas at 2026-09-07official | 7.95mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €31m3% affected · €130/headmodelled | €16mImport safeguardsassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #10 Sheep pox and goat poxevent modelsheep, goats | category a external incursion preparednessas at 2026-09-07official | 7.95mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €29m3% affected · €120/headmodelled | €12mTransport hygieneassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #11 Newcastle diseaseevent modelpoultry, captive_birds, wild_birds | notifiable poultry disease surveillanceas at 2026-09-07official | 173.38mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €26m2.5% affected · €6/headmodelled | €61mPoultry vaccinationassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #12 Bovine viral diarrhoeaannual modelcattle | territorial status or control programmeas at 2026-09-07official | 6mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €23m2% affected · €190/headmodelled | €15mPersistent-infection detectionassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #13 Bovine tuberculosisannual modelcattle, wild_ruminants, wild_boar | territorial status and surveillanceas at 2026-09-07official | 6mEurostat 2020 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €14m0.3% affected · €800/headmodelled | €18mHerd and slaughter surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? |
How to read Italy economics
Observed loss remains unavailable unless a compatible Italian source is registered. The planning model starts from observed susceptible livestock and multiplies four editable assumptions: affected share, loss per affected head, intervention cost and effectiveness.
Observed or official estimate Planning assumption Evidence unavailable