GERMANY PORTFOLIO · 7 SEPTEMBER 2026
Germany · cross-disease portfolio
13 linked disease profiles with official status and exposure, observed economics where available, and a separate editable planning CBA on every profile.
13linked profiles13/13planning CBA16official Länder
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Generic BCRs are withheld from rankings; no composite risk score is calculated.ALL DECISION FRAMES
13 profiles · open any row for evidence, map and CBA controlsGermany disease profiles
| Disease profile | Official status | Susceptible exposure | Published economic benchmark | Planning loss | Planning cost | Intervention evidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 Foot-and-mouth diseaseevent modelcattle, pigs, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants | officially free without vaccination after 2025 eventas at 2026-05-29official | 35.21mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | Nearly €8m Brandenburg damage estimate2025 outbreakpublished benchmark | €264m2.5% affected · €300/headmodelled | €150mEmergency-plan readinessassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #2 Bluetongueevent modelcattle, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants | active btv3 and btv8 circulationas at 2026-09-01official | 12.84mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €116m10% affected · €90/headmodelled | €55mBTV-3 and BTV-8 vaccinationassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #3 African swine feverevent modelpigs, wild_boar | ongoing wild boar circulation regionalised controlsas at 2026-09-01official | 22.38mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | €164m combined published state-control benchmarkBrandenburg to Jul 2023 + Saxony to Jan 2026published benchmark | €112m2% affected · €250/headmodelled | €90mWild-boar corridor surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #4 Classical swine feverevent modelpigs, wild_boar | officially freeas at 2026-05-29official | 22.38mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €98m2% affected · €220/headmodelled | €70mOfficial-status surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #5 Epizootic haemorrhagic diseaseevent modelcattle, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants | notifiable external vector incursion riskas at 2025-05-15official | 12.84mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €73m6% affected · €95/headmodelled | €40mVector surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #6 Lumpy skin diseaseevent modelcattle | no current domestic event heightened external riskas at 2026-01-16official | 10.85mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €69m4% affected · €160/headmodelled | €55mTransport hygieneassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #7 Johne’s diseaseannual modelcattle, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants | reportable endemic hygiene controlas at 2026-03-10official | 12.84mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €64m2.5% affected · €200/headmodelled | €40mHerd hygiene assessmentassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #8 Bovine viral diarrhoeaannual modelcattle | near national freedom with three residual zonesas at 2026-08-10official | 10.85mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €41m2% affected · €190/headmodelled | €45mPersistent-infection detectionassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #9 Highly pathogenic avian influenzaevent modelpoultry, captive_birds, wild_birds | current 2026 poultry and wild bird activityas at 2026-09-04official | 156.3mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €38m3% affected · €8/headmodelled | €75mWild-bird and farm surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #10 Bovine tuberculosisannual modelcattle, wild_ruminants, wild_boar | eu disease free whole territoryas at 2026-09-07official | 10.85mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €26m0.3% affected · €800/headmodelled | €45mSlaughterhouse and herd surveillanceassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #11 Newcastle diseaseevent modelpoultry, captive_birds, wild_birds | current 2026 commercial poultry outbreaksas at 2026-03-27official | 156.3mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €23m2.5% affected · €6/headmodelled | €45mCompulsory poultry vaccinationassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #12 Peste des petits ruminantsevent modelsheep, goats, wild_ruminants | officially free external european incursion riskas at 2026-05-29official | 1.98mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €7.7m3% affected · €130/headmodelled | €25mImport safeguardsassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? | |
| #13 Sheep pox and goat poxevent modelsheep, goats | free since 1920 external incursion preparednessas at 2025-06-30official | 1.98mDestatis 2023 livestockobserved | UnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable | €7.2m3% affected · €120/headmodelled | €22mTransport hygieneassumption | BCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions? |
How to read Germany economics
Observed loss remains unavailable unless a compatible German source is registered. The planning model starts from observed susceptible livestock and multiplies four editable assumptions: affected share, loss per affected head, intervention cost and effectiveness.
Observed or official estimate Planning assumption Evidence unavailable