Direct outbreak loss · programme expenditure · compensation · trade loss. Unregistered components remain explicitly unavailable.
unavailable · source scope retained Decision lens · event frame
France · Newcastle disease
Official evidence remains visible. Unsupported intervention economics are withheld from the public decision view.
Official status · 2026-04-30The registered April 2026 official briefing says France's latest outbreaks were pigeon holdings in 2011, 2017 and 2023.observed
Susceptible exposure · 2025 provisional240,768,000 headobserved
Published economicsUnavailableunavailable
Benefit-cost ratioBCR not estimatedILLUSTRATIVE
Economic evidence classes
Published, modelled, and private values remain separate
240,768,000 head · 5% affected · 6 EUR/head · 35m cost · 50% effectiveness.
Final outputs appear only after activation and run.Private prices, budgets, uptake, and client parameters are not stored in this public browser.
Request secure accessIllustrative scenario—country-specific intervention evidence unavailable.
The registered values are a transparent planning scenario, not a forecast or country-specific intervention estimate.
Inspect BCR calculation fingerprint
- Input source
- Registered susceptible exposure plus Syntera planning assumptions
- Exposure
- 240,768,000 head · 2025 provisional
- Affected share
- 5% · planning assumption
- Loss per head
- 6 EUR · planning assumption
- Programme cost
- 35m EUR · planning assumption
- Effectiveness
- 50% · planning assumption
- Time horizon
- One event
- Discount rate
- 0% · discounting not applied
- Formula
- potential loss = exposure × affected share × loss per affected head; avoided loss = potential loss × effectiveness; BCR = avoided loss ÷ programme cost
- Evidence class
- generic-syntera-planning-scenario · ILLUSTRATIVE
- Limitations
- Exploratory decision scenario, not an observed loss, budget, forecast or official effectiveness estimate. Defaults are Syntera planning assumptions and must be stress-tested before use.
- Sources
- DRAAF Bretagne · Agreste - French Ministry of Agriculture statistical service · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière
Assumptions and evidence
Registered basis
- Official status is not silently converted into prevalence.
- Regional livestock exposure is observed Agreste data, not a national allocation.
- No UK economic coefficient or intervention effect is reused.
- Planning-model defaults are editable Syntera assumptions, not observed France values.
- No formal current freedom status is inferred from the absence of a newer outbreak in the briefing.
Institutional service
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