SYNTERA BIORISK
SpeciesCattle & ruminantsReleaseFrance · 2026-09-07
  1. Global Overview
  2. Europe
  3. France
  4. Johne's disease
Country–disease dossierFrance · Johne's disease
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Decision lens · annual frame

France · Johne's disease

Official evidence remains visible. Unsupported intervention economics are withheld from the public decision view.

Official status · 2025-02-05A current national bovine paratuberculosis reference framework was deployed for the 2024-2025 campaign; a current France-wide prevalence estimate remains unavailable.observed
Susceptible exposure · 2025 provisional24,059,847 headobserved
Published economicsUnavailableunavailable
Benefit-cost ratioBCR not estimatedILLUSTRATIVE
Economic evidence classes

Published, modelled, and private values remain separate

Published economic evidenceUnavailable

Direct outbreak loss · programme expenditure · compensation · trade loss. Unregistered components remain explicitly unavailable.

unavailable · source scope retained
Syntera modelled scenarioPreview ready

24,059,847 head · 5% affected · 170 EUR/head · 45m cost · 45% effectiveness.

Final outputs appear only after activation and run.
Client/private scenarioRestricted institutional workspace

Private prices, budgets, uptake, and client parameters are not stored in this public browser.

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ILLUSTRATIVE

Illustrative scenario—country-specific intervention evidence unavailable.

The registered values are a transparent planning scenario, not a forecast or country-specific intervention estimate.

Inspect BCR calculation fingerprint
Input source
Registered susceptible exposure plus Syntera planning assumptions
Exposure
24,059,847 head · 2025 provisional
Affected share
5% · planning assumption
Loss per head
170 EUR · planning assumption
Programme cost
45m EUR · planning assumption
Effectiveness
45% · planning assumption
Time horizon
One year
Discount rate
0% · discounting not applied
Formula
potential loss = exposure × affected share × loss per affected head; avoided loss = potential loss × effectiveness; BCR = avoided loss ÷ programme cost
Evidence class
generic-syntera-planning-scenario · ILLUSTRATIVE
Limitations
Exploratory decision scenario, not an observed loss, budget, forecast or official effectiveness estimate. Defaults are Syntera planning assumptions and must be stress-tested before use.
Sources
Anses and GDS France · Anses · Agreste - French Ministry of Agriculture statistical service · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière
Assumptions and evidence

Registered basis

  • Official status is not silently converted into prevalence.
  • Regional livestock exposure is observed Agreste data, not a national allocation.
  • No UK economic coefficient or intervention effect is reused.
  • Planning-model defaults are editable Syntera assumptions, not observed France values.
  • Historic per-animal losses are not inflation-adjusted or scaled to the current French herd.
Institutional service

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