Direct outbreak loss · programme expenditure · compensation · trade loss. Unregistered components remain explicitly unavailable.
unavailable · source scope retained Decision lens · event frame
France · African swine fever
Official evidence remains visible. Unsupported intervention economics are withheld from the public decision view.
Official status · 2026-08-03France is officially free from ASF; European circulation remains an introduction threat.observed
Susceptible exposure · 2025 provisional11,840,229 headobserved
Published economicsUnavailableunavailable
Benefit-cost ratioBCR not estimatedILLUSTRATIVE
Economic evidence classes
Published, modelled, and private values remain separate
11,840,229 head · 3% affected · 180 EUR/head · 40m cost · 55% effectiveness.
Final outputs appear only after activation and run.Private prices, budgets, uptake, and client parameters are not stored in this public browser.
Request secure accessIllustrative scenario—country-specific intervention evidence unavailable.
The registered values are a transparent planning scenario, not a forecast or country-specific intervention estimate.
Inspect BCR calculation fingerprint
- Input source
- Registered susceptible exposure plus Syntera planning assumptions
- Exposure
- 11,840,229 head · 2025 provisional
- Affected share
- 3% · planning assumption
- Loss per head
- 180 EUR · planning assumption
- Programme cost
- 40m EUR · planning assumption
- Effectiveness
- 55% · planning assumption
- Time horizon
- One event
- Discount rate
- 0% · discounting not applied
- Formula
- potential loss = exposure × affected share × loss per affected head; avoided loss = potential loss × effectiveness; BCR = avoided loss ÷ programme cost
- Evidence class
- generic-syntera-planning-scenario · ILLUSTRATIVE
- Limitations
- Exploratory decision scenario, not an observed loss, budget, forecast or official effectiveness estimate. Defaults are Syntera planning assumptions and must be stress-tested before use.
- Sources
- French Ministry of Agriculture · Agreste - French Ministry of Agriculture statistical service · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière
Assumptions and evidence
Registered basis
- Official status is not silently converted into prevalence.
- Regional livestock exposure is observed Agreste data, not a national allocation.
- No UK economic coefficient or intervention effect is reused.
- Planning-model defaults are editable Syntera assumptions, not observed France values.
Institutional service
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