SYNTERA BIORISK
SpeciesCross-speciesReleaseFrance · 2026-09-07
FRANCE PORTFOLIO · 7 SEPTEMBER 2026

France · cross-disease portfolio

13 linked disease profiles with official status and exposure, observed economics where available, and a separate editable planning CBA on every profile.

13linked profiles13/13planning CBA18official regions
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Generic BCRs are withheld from rankings; no composite risk score is calculated.
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France disease profiles

13 profiles · open any row for evidence, map and CBA controls
Disease profileOfficial statusSusceptible exposurePublished economic benchmarkPlanning lossPlanning costIntervention evidence
#1
Foot-and-mouth diseaseevent modelcattle, pigs, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants
officially freeas at 2026-05-27official35.9mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€345m4% affected · €240/headmodelled€120mEmergency-plan readinessassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#2
Bluetongueevent modelcattle, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants
enzootic active btv3as at 2026-09-04official24.06mAgreste 2025 livestockobservednearly EUR22m State-funded vaccine purchase2025published benchmark€253m15% affected · €70/headmodelled€22mVoluntary vaccinationassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#3
Johne's diseaseannual modelcattle, sheep, goats, wild_ruminants
endemic control framework current prevalence unavailableas at 2025-02-05official24.06mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€205m5% affected · €170/headmodelled€45mNational reference testing frameworkassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#4
Bovine tuberculosisannual modelcattle, wild_ruminants, wild_boar, badgers
officially free with residual outbreaksas at 2026-03-27official16.21mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€195m2% affected · €600/headmodelled€65mRisk-based herd testingassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#5
Bovine viral diarrhoeaannual modelcattle
endemic control programmeas at 2025-06-30official16.21mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€195m8% affected · €150/headmodelled€70mPersistent-infection detectionassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#6
Lumpy skin diseaseevent modelcattle
no active outbreak vaccination controls continueas at 2026-08-11official16.21mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€156m8% affected · €120/headmodelled€50mState-funded vaccination in regulated zonesassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#7
Epizootic haemorrhagic diseaseevent modelcattle, wild_ruminants
no current season outbreak after recent epidemicas at 2026-07-06official16.21mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€146m12% affected · €75/headmodelled€30mVector surveillanceassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#8
Highly pathogenic avian influenzaevent modelpoultry, captive_birds, wild_birds
current outbreak low national risk levelas at 2026-09-02official240.77mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedapproximately EUR100m second duck-vaccination campaign2024-2025published benchmark€116m6% affected · €8/headmodelled€100mMandatory duck vaccinationassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#9
Newcastle diseaseevent modelpoultry, captive_birds, wild_birds
no current event in registered sourceas at 2026-04-30official240.77mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€72m5% affected · €6/headmodelled€35mFarm biosecurityassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#10
African swine feverevent modelpigs, wild_boar
officially freeas at 2026-08-03official11.84mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€64m3% affected · €180/headmodelled€40mBorder and traveller biosecurityassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#11
Classical swine feverevent modelpigs, wild_boar
officially freeas at 2026-05official11.84mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€57m3% affected · €160/headmodelled€30mOfficial-status surveillanceassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#12
Peste des petits ruminantsevent modelsheep, goats, wild_ruminants
officially freeas at 2026-05-27official7.85mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€37m5% affected · €95/headmodelled€25mImport safeguardsassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
#13
Sheep pox and goat poxevent modelsheep, goats
officially freeas at 2026-05-27official7.85mAgreste 2025 livestockobservedUnavailableNo current compatible aggregateunavailable€35m5% affected · €90/headmodelled€25mImport safeguardsassumptionBCR not estimatedCountry-specific intervention evidence unavailableILLUSTRATIVEWhy these assumptions?
How to read France economics

Observed loss remains unavailable unless a compatible French source is registered. The planning model starts from observed susceptible livestock and multiplies four editable assumptions: affected share, loss per affected head, intervention cost and effectiveness.

Observed or official estimate Planning assumption Evidence unavailable